Housing Shortage?

From smartmoney.com:

With all the talk of excess inventory and flood of foreclosures, the idea of a looming housing shortage sounds unrealistic if not fanciful.

After all, the most recent data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) out last week showed a 5.1% decline in existing home sales in June. Meanwhile, total housing inventory increased 2.5% to four million homes available for sale, an 8.9-month supply, up from an 8.3-month supply in May.

Foreclosures, too, are an issue with a vast backlog of distressed properties and underwater loans sitting just below the surface, according to RealtyTrac, an online foreclosure marketplace. The company forecasts that more than three million properties will get hit with foreclosure filings by the end of the year.

While I’m not sure how things will play out nationally, it wouldn’t surprise me if in a few years SF again finds itself back in the usual situation where we have many more people that want to live here than we have housing units (such a glamorous term) to accommodate them. The mid 2000′s housing boom saw more units built in SF in a several year period than had been built in SF over the past several decades. And it has been absorbed rather quickly. Many of these developers had additional projects in the pipeline, but those have pretty much all been canceled because of financing problems.
Here we go again…
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