Unlike most markets that are driven by wintry weather and families wanting to move over the summer when school isn’t in session, our market is more weather driven, with our first peak season being after the rains but before the constant fog, and the second season taking advantage of our best weather before the holidays arrive.
So we are in the process of saying good-bye to our second main selling time of the year, so if we were going to have a bump in inventory for buyers it would be reasonable to expect it to have happened already. And it hasn’t!
As you can see from the graph above, MSI (months supply of inventory), hit a new low in October with an MSI of 1.3. That means that if not one new home came on the market, every available home would be sold in 1.3 months. It won’t come as a surprise to any current San Francisco buyers, but an MSI of 1.3 is indicative of a very strong seller’s market. Which it has been all year long.
Most agents tend to counsel clients that are thinking of selling to hold off until the next peak season starts in February, but our incredibly low MSI makes a very good argument for selling now instead of later… Data for the graph above is from the San Francisco MLS, and is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Your mileage (or statistics) may vary.